Stock market prediction: Quarterly S&P 500 Forecast

2026 Q2

April 1st 2026

Our quarterly S&P 500 forecast for 2026 Q2 (average price returns) is a 0.83 percent growth over the first quarter of 2026. Our monthly forecast for April is lower than March’s average.

Volatility concerning frequent changes in tariff rates and timings, and geopolitical conflicts, cannot be captured in a forecast model. Thus, any uncertainty concerning these issues makes the 95 % confidence interval around the point forecast rather wide.       

Source: Historical data from FRED (price returns) and the forecast are our own estimations based on the data from March 31st 2026
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